Organizers: Richard Dietz and Igor Douven
While it strikes most as obvious that there exist close conceptual connections between conditionals and conditionalization, it is far less obvious what these connections precisely are. The aim of the workshop is to investigate these connections from an interdisciplinary perspective, drawing on recent work in philosophy and experimental psychology. The time is ripe for such an approach, given that both linguists and psychologists working on conditionals are increasingly turning to the probabilistic theories of conditionals that philosophers have been developing over the past forty years or so. On the other hand, various philosophical claims have been made about conditionals – in particular concerning their semantics and pragmatics – apparently on no other basis than the linguistic intuitions of the philosophers making these claims. It would be interesting, and from a methodological perspective desirable, to subject these claims to more rigorous testing, which is where experimental psychologists could help (and, to some extent, have already helped).
Speakers include
- Horacio Arlo-Costa (Carnegie Mellon) Iterated Conditionals: Normative and Descriptive Models
- Jean-François Bonnefon (Toulouse) A Comprehensive Theory of Reasoning from Utility Conditionals
- Richard Bradley (LSE) Conditionals as Random Variables
- John Cantwell (Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm) A Semantics for Indicative Conditionals
- Richard Dietz (Leuven) Ramsey's Test, Adams' Thesis, and Left-nested Conditionals
- Igor Douven (Leuven) A new resolution of the Judy Benjamin problem
- Shira Elqayam (De Monfort University, Leicester) Knights, Knaves, and the Ramsey Test: The Effect of Embedded, Indeterminate, and Paradoxical Antecedents
- David Etlin (Leuven) TBA
- Alan Hájek (ANU) Most Counterfactuals are False
- James Hawthorne (Oklahoma) On Nonmonotonic Conditionals that Correspond to Conditional Probabilities Above Thresholds
- Janneke Huitink (Frankfurt/M.) Iterated conditionals and Modus Ponens: experimental evidence
- Peter Milne (Stirling) Inferring, Updating, and a Plausible Principle of Hypothetical Reasoning
- David Over (Durham) The Psychology of Conditionals and Non-Constructive Inference
- Niki Pfeifer (Salzburg) Modeling Human Conditional Reasoning by Probability Logic
- Gerhard Schurz (Duesseldorf) Inferences among Probabilistic Conditionals with Uncertainty-Sum-Semantics and with Threshold-Semantics: Applications and Axiomatizations
- Sara Verbrugge (Leuven) The Use of Epistemic Lexical Markers in Abductive, Inductive and Deductive Conditionals
- Jonathan Weisberg (Toronto) Updating, Undermining, and Independence